Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 14.964498 17.403670 20.057241 23.151022 26.651162 30.480252 34.978043
2025-07-27 11.123962 14.522891 18.591253 23.782460 30.189176 37.793278 47.453306
2025-08-03 8.676781 12.432166 17.280722 23.914779 32.658075 43.679360 58.497345
2025-08-10 6.843130 10.635024 15.861149 23.446814 34.004489 47.982600 67.651649
2025-08-17 5.485220 9.180827 14.583299 22.846466 34.907270 51.563835 75.925405
2025-08-24 4.437762 7.964918 13.412003 22.153326 35.472584 54.573154 83.478650
2025-08-31 3.559710 6.840614 12.183753 21.160194 35.402434 56.554642 89.586175
2025-09-07 3.136620 6.392117 11.939061 21.623558 37.514092 61.803274 100.716189
2025-09-14 2.769027 5.971916 11.670268 21.987620 39.456654 66.880129 111.859978
2025-09-21 2.353346 5.384636 11.024269 21.622201 40.145785 70.012989 120.162097
2025-09-28 1.980973 4.811150 10.317078 21.050734 40.403372 72.426438 127.420679
2025-10-05 1.892947 4.807715 10.669743 22.410861 44.065380 80.576546 144.304288
2025-10-12 1.750917 4.688177 10.829801 23.523086 47.552787 88.948028 162.546743
2025-10-19 1.566827 4.445262 10.723637 24.144723 50.268613 96.305030 179.759582
2025-10-26 1.365573 4.117696 10.390865 24.275479 52.080343 102.220187 194.908608
2025-11-02 1.150307 3.703230 9.801265 23.800805 52.677172 106.002290 206.578054
2025-11-09 0.961486 3.309545 9.190055 23.192479 52.932306 109.149075 217.276054
2025-11-16 0.798308 2.942634 8.576330 22.490195 52.910793 111.748935 227.104076
2025-11-23 0.647372 2.567252 7.872563 21.483916 52.146508 112.862500 234.240266
2025-11-30 0.584685 2.451424 7.809910 21.953421 54.526628 120.147480 253.208789
2025-12-07 0.525227 2.329851 7.711464 22.322297 56.713213 127.177391 272.056884
2025-12-14 0.447296 2.119736 7.332801 21.952046 57.228288 130.904295 284.777390
2025-12-21 0.374551 1.903662 6.895808 21.373002 57.208733 133.529763 295.479202